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Red101
439511.7
345247.6
247439.1
Blue78
553516.4
506936.5
522715.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9257015020010178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.5
41.341.8
Auto0.2
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 11.1
5069
#10
36.50.7
33.534.2
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Second
39.10.5
38.539.1
Auto0.6
Teleop38.5
End0.0
red by 22.7
5535
#34
16.40.7
19.520.2
Auto0.4
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
4395
#31
11.70.5
10.310.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 3.4
5227
#21
15.00.7
11.312.0
Auto1.8
Teleop13.2
End0.0