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Red36
567517.8
562318.0
485514.2
Blue24
167723.5
437732.8
515222.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37880501001502003624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5623
#32
18.00.5
16.516.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 14.9
4377
#13
32.82.7
30.627.9
Auto0.7
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
5675
#28
17.80.5
13.212.7
Auto-1.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 5.7
1677
#27
23.52.7
29.927.3
Auto0.0
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
4855
#33
14.20.5
16.415.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 8.2
5152
#17
22.42.7
22.720.0
Auto1.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0