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Red59
567611.6
49448.1
519422.1
Blue33
362038.6
432533.2
550220.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711040501502002505933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
48.11.0
44.343.4
Auto7.6
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 9.5
3620
#19
38.63.5
42.939.4
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
5194
#23
22.11.0
21.620.6
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 11.2
4325
#14
33.23.5
35.632.1
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Third
5676
#38
11.61.4
12.711.3
Auto0.7
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 9.4
5502
#29
20.95.0
24.119.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.4
End0.0