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Red16
440915.1
46944.6
46810.1
Blue11
546211.3
387527.6
125417.3
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61602040801001611

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#11
44.62.3
36.233.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 17.0
3875
#26
27.62.4
29.927.5
Auto0.8
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
4409
#35
15.12.3
15.813.5
Auto0.6
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1254
#30
17.32.4
18.115.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
468
#36
10.12.3
9.77.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 1.2
5462
#37
11.32.4
16.314.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0