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Red84
354733.8
505620.8
194011.8
Blue76
436821.4
561021.1
550126.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59542040801008476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3547
#12
33.81.2
30.131.3
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 7.0
5501
#25
26.81.0
18.119.0
Auto0.5
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Second
5056
#24
20.81.2
16.417.6
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4368
#16
21.41.0
17.618.6
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
1940
#40
11.81.2
13.614.8
Auto0.6
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 9.3
5610
#20
21.11.0
21.021.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.7
End0.0