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Red35
522715.0
567430.8
276744.8
Blue62
553516.4
295941.1
524617.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99700501502003562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.83.1
46.343.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop45.6
End0.0
red by 3.7
41.10.7
40.639.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop41.2
End0.0
Second
5674
#18
30.83.1
37.033.9
Auto0.4
Teleop30.3
End0.0
red by 13.2
5246
#22
17.60.7
15.815.0
Auto1.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
5227
#21
15.03.1
14.411.3
Auto1.8
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5535
#34
16.40.7
20.219.5
Auto0.4
Teleop15.9
End0.0