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Red80
553516.4
520425.0
436821.4
Blue71
567430.8
518210.0
550220.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625902040801001208071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.9
25.826.7
Auto0.9
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 5.8
5674
#18
30.80.4
31.131.5
Auto0.4
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Second
4368
#16
21.40.9
18.619.5
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 0.5
5502
#29
20.90.5
20.721.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
5535
#34
16.40.9
17.518.4
Auto0.4
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 6.4
5182
#39
10.00.4
11.611.9
Auto1.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0