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Red73
387527.6
439511.7
524617.6
Blue93
562318.0
423730.1
519422.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476501001502007393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#26
27.61.1
28.729.7
Auto0.8
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 2.4
30.11.4
29.831.2
Auto1.9
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Second
5246
#22
17.61.1
13.014.1
Auto1.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 4.5
5194
#23
22.11.4
20.822.2
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
4395
#31
11.71.1
10.211.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 6.3
5623
#32
18.01.4
14.315.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0