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Red104
567611.6
354733.8
362038.6
Blue126
567517.8
574524.6
46944.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826202040100120140160104126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#19
38.61.1
37.838.9
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
blue by 6.0
469
#11
44.62.9
34.137.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Second
3547
#12
33.81.1
33.534.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 9.2
5745
#15
24.62.9
19.522.4
Auto1.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Third
5676
#38
11.61.4
10.411.8
Auto0.7
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 6.2
5675
#28
17.82.9
13.916.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0