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Red134
125417.3
247439.1
295941.1
Blue82
515222.4
46810.1
436821.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions983905015020013482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.12.1
40.142.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop41.2
End0.0
red by 18.8
5152
#17
22.41.9
22.224.1
Auto1.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
39.12.1
38.040.1
Auto0.6
Teleop38.5
End0.0
red by 17.6
4368
#16
21.41.9
19.521.4
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
1254
#30
17.32.1
14.316.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 7.3
468
#36
10.11.9
8.210.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0