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Red101
368839.5
550126.8
562318.0
Blue58
440915.1
561021.1
485514.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions794105010015010158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.51.3
38.339.6
Auto0.7
Teleop38.8
End0.0
red by 18.4
5610
#20
21.10.5
20.320.7
Auto0.4
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Second
5501
#25
26.81.3
21.522.8
Auto0.5
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 11.7
4409
#35
15.10.5
14.615.1
Auto0.6
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
5623
#32
18.01.3
15.717.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 3.8
4855
#33
14.20.5
13.714.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0