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Red118
7050.7
519422.1
485514.2
Blue94
440915.1
522715.0
354733.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58390208010012014011894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#1
50.73.0
33.236.3
Auto7.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 16.9
3547
#12
33.82.5
24.226.7
Auto0.7
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
5194
#23
22.13.0
14.517.6
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 7.0
4409
#35
15.12.5
14.216.7
Auto0.6
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
4855
#33
14.23.0
9.412.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 0.9
5227
#21
15.02.5
4.97.4
Auto1.8
Teleop13.2
End0.0