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Red90
387527.6
295941.1
436821.4
Blue126
432533.2
368839.5
574524.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6962408010012090126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.11.0
33.034.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop41.2
End0.0
red by 1.6
39.53.0
29.232.2
Auto0.7
Teleop38.8
End0.0
Second
3875
#26
27.61.0
26.427.4
Auto0.8
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4325
#14
33.23.0
27.530.5
Auto1.0
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Third
4368
#16
21.41.0
10.611.6
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 3.2
5745
#15
24.63.0
8.711.7
Auto1.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0