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Red36
50149.3
83514.7
354721.2
Blue2
56195.9
50509.0
20484.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372606080100120140362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.0
12.312.3
Auto0.2
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 12.2
5050
#16
9.02.2
10.07.8
Auto0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Second
835
#9
14.70.0
13.113.1
Auto0.5
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 8.8
5619
#20
5.91.8
8.16.3
Auto0.5
Teleop5.4
End0.0
Third
5014
#28
9.30.0
10.810.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 4.8
2048
#37
4.52.2
10.17.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.6
End0.0