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Red40
48546.1
102334.0
4539.1
Blue5
148110.2
91011.8
476810.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52340100150405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.9
26.325.3
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 22.2
910
#19
11.82.8
21.819.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Second
453
#36
9.10.9
16.615.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 1.1
1481
#21
10.22.8
8.55.8
Auto0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
4854
#30
6.10.9
8.47.4
Auto0.4
Teleop5.6
End0.0
blue by 4.0
4768
#26
10.02.8
7.95.2
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0