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Red2
363211.0
9410.3
353815.3
Blue32
296018.5
3342.2
33027.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2569050100150200232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.32.6
13.510.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 26.9
33
#1
42.22.7
31.628.9
Auto1.1
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
3632
#15
11.02.6
7.85.2
Auto0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 7.5
2960
#10
18.52.7
19.917.2
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
Third
94
#14
10.32.6
12.09.4
Auto0.8
Teleop9.5
End0.0
red by 2.9
3302
#27
7.42.7
13.210.5
Auto0.0
Teleop7.3
End0.0