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Red56
56195.9
222414.2
102334.0
Blue38
54676.7
57324.1
50509.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413202060801001201401605638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.3
25.326.6
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 10.0
573
#6
24.10.8
20.721.5
Auto0.8
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
2224
#24
14.21.3
9.310.6
Auto0.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 5.2
5050
#16
9.00.8
7.88.5
Auto0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Third
5619
#20
5.91.3
6.37.6
Auto0.5
Teleop5.4
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5467
#31
6.70.8
6.16.9
Auto0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0