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Red50
3342.2
56426.3
148110.2
Blue34
569511.2
354811.0
54824.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393402060801001201401605034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
42.20.9
28.929.8
Auto1.1
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 18.2
548
#8
24.00.2
18.218.0
Auto0.9
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
1481
#21
10.20.9
3.74.5
Auto0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 1.0
5695
#11
11.20.2
6.66.5
Auto0.2
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
5642
#25
6.30.9
7.28.1
Auto0.1
Teleop6.2
End0.0
blue by 4.7
3548
#18
11.00.2
11.211.0
Auto0.2
Teleop10.8
End0.0