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Red24
296018.5
363211.0
46809.2
Blue8
55774.9
83514.7
50086.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26200406080100120140248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#10
18.50.2
15.715.5
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
red by 3.8
835
#9
14.71.1
11.710.6
Auto0.5
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Second
3632
#15
11.00.2
4.54.3
Auto0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 4.4
5008
#22
6.61.1
4.73.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
Third
4680
#12
9.20.2
6.15.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 4.3
5577
#29
4.91.1
5.24.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.0
End0.0