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Red35
57324.1
516722.5
354721.2
Blue2
509012.8
50509.0
118810.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462406080100120140352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#6
24.10.7
21.520.8
Auto0.8
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 11.3
5090
#17
12.82.2
10.78.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Second
22.50.7
12.511.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 12.4
1188
#23
10.12.2
8.76.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
21.20.7
9.99.1
Auto0.2
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 12.2
5050
#16
9.02.2
8.56.4
Auto0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0