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Red2
360428.2
569511.2
148110.2
Blue14
47376.5
83514.7
102334.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20460406080100120140214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.9
14.914.0
Auto1.6
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 5.8
34.02.5
24.421.9
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Second
5695
#11
11.20.9
5.34.4
Auto0.2
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 3.5
835
#9
14.72.5
10.68.1
Auto0.5
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
1481
#21
10.20.9
4.53.6
Auto0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
red by 3.6
4737
#35
6.52.5
8.96.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0