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Red19
170110.3
353815.3
20484.5
Blue11
52524.9
50086.6
50149.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26120204060801001201911

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.30.5
9.89.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 6.0
5014
#28
9.30.3
8.68.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Second
1701
#33
10.30.5
10.810.3
Auto0.7
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 3.8
5008
#22
6.60.3
3.63.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
Third
2048
#37
4.50.5
4.03.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5252
#32
4.90.3
2.72.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.9
End0.0