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Red42
516722.5
363211.0
50086.6
Blue14
52524.9
48546.1
118810.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191204060804214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.9
12.014.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 12.4
1188
#23
10.10.0
6.96.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Second
3632
#15
11.01.9
3.55.4
Auto0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 4.9
4854
#30
6.10.0
4.34.4
Auto0.4
Teleop5.6
End0.0
Third
5008
#22
6.61.9
3.25.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
red by 1.6
5252
#32
4.90.0
2.42.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.9
End0.0