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Red26
353815.3
4539.1
509012.8
Blue5
569511.2
52224.6
54676.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2911020406080100120265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.30.4
9.39.7
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 4.1
5695
#11
11.20.8
4.43.6
Auto0.2
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Second
5090
#17
12.80.4
7.68.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 6.1
5467
#31
6.70.8
6.35.5
Auto0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
Third
453
#36
9.10.4
10.510.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0
red by 4.4
5222
#38
4.60.8
3.42.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.7
End0.0