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Red0
222414.2
20484.5
50086.6
Blue25
54824.0
91011.8
360428.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1052020406080100120025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2224
#24
14.20.4
8.27.8
Auto0.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 14.0
28.21.8
14.212.4
Auto1.6
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Second
5008
#22
6.60.4
5.24.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 17.5
548
#8
24.01.8
18.616.8
Auto0.9
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Third
2048
#37
4.50.4
3.53.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 7.3
910
#19
11.81.8
14.112.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0