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Red4
56426.3
48546.1
569511.2
Blue12
363211.0
50149.3
54676.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13190406080412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5695
#11
11.20.8
3.62.8
Auto0.2
Teleop11.1
End0.0
red by 0.2
3632
#15
11.00.6
5.44.9
Auto0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Second
5642
#25
6.30.8
6.15.2
Auto0.1
Teleop6.2
End0.0
blue by 3.0
5014
#28
9.30.6
7.77.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Third
4854
#30
6.10.8
4.43.5
Auto0.4
Teleop5.6
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5467
#31
6.70.6
5.55.0
Auto0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0