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Red15
267312.1
56195.9
296018.5
Blue1
33027.4
170110.3
57324.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32400206080100120151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#10
18.51.6
15.313.7
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 5.6
573
#6
24.13.3
22.619.3
Auto0.8
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
2673
#13
12.11.6
12.210.5
Auto0.5
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 1.8
1701
#33
10.33.3
10.47.1
Auto0.7
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
5619
#20
5.91.6
7.15.4
Auto0.5
Teleop5.4
End0.0
blue by 1.5
3302
#27
7.43.3
7.34.0
Auto0.0
Teleop7.3
End0.0