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Red20
36679.7
353815.3
91011.8
Blue26
509012.8
55774.9
57324.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29310204060801002026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.30.4
9.89.5
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 8.8
573
#6
24.10.5
19.318.8
Auto0.8
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
910
#19
11.80.4
13.413.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 1.0
5090
#17
12.80.5
8.17.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
3667
#34
9.70.4
7.57.1
Auto0.3
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 4.8
5577
#29
4.90.5
4.74.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.0
End0.0