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Red32
354811.0
4539.1
56426.3
Blue10
296018.5
47376.5
20484.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24220103040506070803210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3548
#18
11.00.6
11.211.8
Auto0.2
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 7.5
2960
#10
18.50.1
13.713.6
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
Second
453
#36
9.10.6
8.99.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0
red by 2.5
4737
#35
6.50.1
8.28.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
Third
5642
#25
6.30.6
4.85.3
Auto0.1
Teleop6.2
End0.0
red by 1.8
2048
#37
4.50.1
1.61.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.6
End0.0