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Red2
4539.1
222414.2
55774.9
Blue28
296018.5
354721.2
48546.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223906080100120140228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2224
#24
14.21.7
12.110.4
Auto0.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 6.9
21.20.7
14.513.8
Auto0.2
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
453
#36
9.11.7
9.47.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 9.4
2960
#10
18.50.7
16.415.7
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
Third
5577
#29
4.91.7
3.92.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.0
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4854
#30
6.10.7
6.76.0
Auto0.4
Teleop5.6
End0.0