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Red25
33027.4
91011.8
54676.7
Blue35
569511.2
516722.5
20484.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2524010203040506070802535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#19
11.80.1
11.411.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 10.7
22.50.7
18.819.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
3302
#27
7.40.1
7.47.4
Auto0.0
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5695
#11
11.20.7
4.85.5
Auto0.2
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
5467
#31
6.70.1
6.96.8
Auto0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
red by 2.2
2048
#37
4.50.7
1.52.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.6
End0.0