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Red12
47376.5
46809.2
48546.1
Blue66
354721.2
353815.3
360428.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125601001501266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#12
9.20.5
6.15.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 19.0
28.21.0
22.923.9
Auto1.6
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Second
4737
#35
6.50.5
7.26.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 14.6
21.21.0
13.814.8
Auto0.2
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
4854
#30
6.10.5
6.05.5
Auto0.4
Teleop5.6
End0.0
blue by 9.3
15.31.0
14.115.1
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0