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Red22
118810.1
476810.0
516722.5
Blue24
296018.5
83514.7
353815.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343060801001201401602224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.4
12.912.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 4.0
2960
#10
18.51.4
17.215.7
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
Second
1188
#23
10.10.4
9.18.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 5.2
15.31.4
10.99.5
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
4768
#26
10.00.4
5.24.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 4.7
835
#9
14.71.4
13.111.7
Auto0.5
Teleop14.2
End0.0