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Red69
550919.0
560323.7
357015.7
Blue60
498316.7
570618.0
516615.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52480204060801001201406960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.3
21.922.1
Auto0.8
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 5.7
18.00.2
17.918.0
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
19.00.3
17.117.4
Auto2.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 2.3
16.70.2
16.616.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
3570
#31
15.70.3
13.814.1
Auto0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5166
#19
15.90.2
15.715.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0