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Red67
224616.0
556219.3
542413.3
Blue39
377021.5
526022.4
566111.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4456020801001201401606739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5562
#12
19.30.3
19.019.3
Auto1.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 3.1
22.40.3
22.722.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
2246
#14
16.00.3
15.716.0
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 5.5
21.50.3
21.821.5
Auto0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
5424
#20
13.30.3
13.013.3
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 1.5
5661
#26
11.80.3
12.111.8
Auto0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0