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Red40
482715.5
571220.6
550413.5
Blue30
439815.4
471517.5
124310.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504102060801001201404030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.2
20.720.6
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 3.1
4715
#11
17.50.2
17.717.5
Auto0.7
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Second
4827
#10
15.50.2
15.715.5
Auto0.8
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 0.1
4398
#13
15.40.2
15.615.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
5504
#16
13.50.2
13.713.5
Auto0.8
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 3.3
1243
#35
10.30.2
10.510.3
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0