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Red109
360230.4
102533.1
552417.7
Blue49
377021.5
526022.4
566111.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7451010015010949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.6
30.531.1
Auto1.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 10.7
22.40.1
22.822.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
30.40.6
27.828.4
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 8.9
21.50.1
21.921.8
Auto0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
5524
#21
17.70.6
15.115.7
Auto0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 6.0
5661
#26
11.80.1
12.212.1
Auto0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0