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Red0
566111.8
515613.2
556219.3
Blue28
360230.4
552417.7
51837.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2139050100150028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5562
#12
19.330.5
38.47.9
Auto1.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 11.1
30.40.8
16.715.9
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
5156
#23
13.20.6
7.97.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 4.5
5524
#21
17.715.6
23.47.7
Auto0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Third
5661
#26
11.88.9
16.87.9
Auto0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 4.7
5183
#39
7.00.8
12.211.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0