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Red80
498316.7
102533.1
570211.6
Blue78
570618.0
554712.2
377021.5
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27290204060808078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.14.3
15.419.7
Auto1.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 11.6
21.54.1
13.417.5
Auto0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
16.74.3
6.010.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 1.3
18.04.1
8.913.0
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
5702
#34
11.64.3
7.011.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5547
#22
12.24.1
7.011.1
Auto0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0