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Red51
482715.5
550919.0
560323.7
Blue6
57148.5
437511.3
522415.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22270406080100120516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.72.3
7.910.2
Auto0.8
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 8.7
5224
#24
15.01.7
11.69.8
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Second
19.02.3
7.910.1
Auto2.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 7.7
4375
#30
11.31.7
9.27.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
4827
#10
15.52.3
8.110.3
Auto0.8
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 7.0
5714
#32
8.51.7
6.04.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0