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Red21
524710.2
224616.0
553812.8
Blue4
550413.5
497012.9
36179.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23210406080100214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2246
#14
16.00.2
10.410.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 2.5
5504
#16
13.51.0
6.65.6
Auto0.8
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Second
5538
#25
12.80.2
3.93.7
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4970
#28
12.91.0
8.87.8
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
5247
#33
10.20.2
9.29.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 1.2
3617
#38
9.01.0
6.55.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0