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Red2
570618.0
51837.0
508611.3
Blue0
554712.2
498316.7
48358.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292802040608010012020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.02.3
13.010.7
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 1.3
16.70.9
10.39.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
5086
#27
11.32.3
7.75.3
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5547
#22
12.20.9
11.110.2
Auto0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
5183
#39
7.02.3
9.47.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4835
#37
8.10.9
7.86.9
Auto0.6
Teleop7.5
End0.0