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Red50
102533.1
550919.0
542413.3
Blue30
570211.6
566111.8
526022.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3721060801001201401605030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.11.2
19.720.9
Auto1.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 10.7
22.40.5
7.17.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
19.01.2
10.111.3
Auto2.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 7.2
5661
#26
11.80.5
6.26.6
Auto0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Third
5424
#20
13.31.2
6.07.2
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 1.8
5702
#34
11.60.5
11.311.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.8
End0.0