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Red62
519313.6
571220.6
357015.7
Blue57
439815.4
482715.5
360230.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2136060801001201401606257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.63.1
7.010.1
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 9.9
30.41.8
13.815.6
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
3570
#31
15.73.1
8.011.2
Auto0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 0.2
4827
#10
15.51.8
10.312.2
Auto0.8
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
5193
#18
13.63.1
9.512.6
Auto0.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4398
#13
15.41.8
11.012.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.5
End0.0