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Red2
515613.2
55604.8
552417.7
Blue5
522415.0
124310.3
50318.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15450608010012014016025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5524
#21
17.71.5
5.84.3
Auto0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 0.3
503
#29
18.02.5
18.616.1
Auto0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
5156
#23
13.21.5
7.66.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 1.8
5224
#24
15.02.5
9.87.3
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
5560
#40
4.81.5
6.55.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0
blue by 5.5
1243
#35
10.32.5
13.110.6
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0