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Red2
560323.7
57148.5
471517.5
Blue16
524710.2
552513.2
377021.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193306080100120140160216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.6
10.28.5
Auto0.8
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 2.2
21.51.4
17.516.1
Auto0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
4715
#11
17.51.6
7.25.5
Auto0.7
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 4.3
5525
#17
13.21.4
5.94.6
Auto0.2
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
5714
#32
8.51.6
4.32.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 1.7
5247
#33
10.21.4
9.07.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0