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Red34
497012.9
526022.4
554712.2
Blue29
522415.0
48358.1
360230.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243004060801001201403429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.7
7.58.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 8.0
30.40.4
15.616.0
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
4970
#28
12.90.7
7.88.5
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 2.1
5224
#24
15.00.4
7.37.7
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
5547
#22
12.20.7
10.210.9
Auto0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 4.1
4835
#37
8.10.4
6.97.3
Auto0.6
Teleop7.5
End0.0