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Red0
516615.9
552513.2
51837.0
Blue14
570618.0
357015.7
55604.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22250406080100120014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#19
15.90.9
10.49.5
Auto0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 2.1
18.01.0
10.79.7
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
5525
#17
13.20.9
4.63.6
Auto0.2
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
3570
#31
15.71.0
11.210.2
Auto0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
5183
#39
7.00.9
8.07.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
red by 2.3
5560
#40
4.81.0
4.03.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0