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Red1
48358.1
570211.6
439815.4
Blue18
552417.7
482715.5
224616.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2731020406080100120140118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#13
15.42.3
10.58.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5524
#21
17.71.1
8.77.6
Auto0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Second
5702
#34
11.62.3
10.68.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 4.4
2246
#14
16.01.1
13.612.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
4835
#37
8.12.3
7.35.0
Auto0.6
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 7.4
4827
#10
15.51.1
9.48.3
Auto0.8
Teleop14.7
End0.0