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Red66
526022.4
357015.7
542413.3
Blue64
437511.3
570618.0
36179.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232204060806664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.43.6
8.311.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
18.03.5
9.713.1
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
3570
#31
15.73.6
10.213.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 4.4
4375
#30
11.33.5
8.411.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
5424
#20
13.33.6
5.08.5
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 4.3
3617
#38
9.03.5
4.57.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0